Why Providers Will Lose Points in 2026 Without a KPI Evidence Strategy — and How to Fix It Now

From 2026, providers won’t lose tenders because of poor delivery — they’ll lose because they can’t prove what they deliver. Under the Procurement Act 2023, evidence is now the single biggest tender differentiator. With Most Advantageous Tender (MAT) scoring tightening, KPI evidence, governance assurance and social value proof will separate winners from near-misses.


Why MAT Evidence Now Matters More Than Delivery

The Procurement Act raises the bar on demonstrable performance. Commissioners want providers who not only deliver high-quality services — but can evidence outcomes, governance, risks, learning, KPIs and social value consistently.

MAT gives commissioners freedom to retain or appoint organisations whose evidence shows:

  • clear, measurable improvements
  • strong governance and risk controls
  • social value that actually happened (not just promises)
  • a provider learning and improving over time

This is why many providers are now strengthening KPI systems through structured support such as Contract Retention & Outcomes Evidence Support.


The New Risk: “We Deliver Well, But Our Evidence Is Weak.”

Across supported living, community health, CHC, reablement and home care, providers are realising a hard truth:

Strong delivery is irrelevant if the evidence doesn’t prove it.

You are vulnerable if:

  • KPIs are inconsistent or manually collated
  • governance evidence (supervision, audits, learning cycles) is scattered
  • service outcomes aren’t quantified or benchmarked
  • social value commitments are not tracked or evidenced
  • case studies lack metrics, structure or a clear line of sight to outcomes

Many of these gaps only become visible when preparing bids or renewal documentation — by then, it’s often too late. Providers increasingly commission Bid Library & Process Design to stop this happening.


Governance Evidence Will Become a Scoring Battleground

Commissioners are under pressure to demonstrate assurance, risk control and public value. That means governance evidence will influence scoring far more heavily than in previous tender cycles.

Expect questions — and scoring — to focus on:

  • supervision frequency and quality
  • audit cycles and how findings drive change
  • incident/concern learning loops (what changed as a result?)
  • escalation routes and decision frameworks
  • workforce development records linked to outcomes

This is an area where a structured Strategic Review can dramatically strengthen a provider’s position before tenders go live.


Social Value Proof Must Shift From “Aspirational” to “Auditable”

Most providers still describe social value rather than evidencing it. Under MAT, that won’t be enough.

You will need:

  • real metrics (jobs, apprenticeships, upskilling, inclusion)
  • tracked community contributions
  • carbon or sustainability baselines
  • local partnerships documented with outputs and outcomes

Commissioners will start comparing providers on the quality and credibility of this evidence — not the enthusiasm of the narrative.

The providers who win will be those who treat social value like a KPI, supported by structured reporting such as Outcomes Evidence Packages.


The 2026 Fix: Build Evidence Systems Now, Not When a Tender Drops

Providers who wait until the tender is published will lose to those who prepared months earlier.

To stay competitive under MAT, you need:

  • consistent KPIs across services
  • governance logs that are board-ready and auditable
  • lived experience and case studies with verified metrics
  • social value dashboards linked to local priorities
  • renewal-ready performance reports for commissioners

These are all deliverables included in our evidence-led support:
🔗 Contract Retention & Outcomes Evidence Support


In Summary

From 2026, tenders will be won or lost on:

  • KPI consistency
  • governance proof
  • social value evidence
  • case studies with outcome metrics
  • clear MAT-aligned narrative structures

Delivery still matters — but evidence will decide the winner.

If your evidence systems need strengthening now, you can start here:
🔗 Contract Retention & Outcomes Evidence Support


💼 Rapid Support Products (fast turnaround options)


🚀 Need a Bid Writing Quote?

If you’re exploring support for an upcoming learning disability tender, request a quick, no-obligation quote. I’ll review your documents and respond with:

  • A clear scope of work
  • Estimated days required
  • A fixed fee quote
  • Any risks, considerations or quick wins
📄 Request a Bid Writing Quote →

🔁 Prefer Flexible Monthly Support?

If you regularly handle tenders, frameworks or call-offs, a Monthly Bid Support Retainer may be a better fit.

  • Guaranteed hours each month (1, 2, 4 or 8 days)
  • Discounted day rates vs ad-hoc consultancy
  • Use time flexibly across bids, triage, library updates, renewals
  • One-month rollover (fair-use rules applied)
  • Cancel anytime before next billing date
Explore Monthly Retainers →

🚀 Ready to Win Your Next Bid?

Chat on WhatsApp or email Mike.Harrison@impact-guru.co.uk

Updated for Procurement Act 2023 • CQC-aligned • BASE-aligned (where relevant)


Written by Impact Guru, editorial oversight by Mike Harrison, Founder of Impact Guru Ltd — bringing extensive experience in health and social care tenders, commissioning and strategy.

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